The Boise State Broncos have been here before — undefeated, nearing the end of the season, hoping for a chance at the national championship. They’ve been denied that chance, even though they have finished undefeated two seasons out of the past five years. And it looks as if they will finish the season undefeated once more, although they still have a few games to play. However, the BCS Rankings has seen fit to drop them back another notch in the current Standings to #4.
The BCS Standings are rankings whereby the bowl selections are made. Teams ranked at #1 and #2 at season’s end play for the national title in the BCS Championship Game. At present, there are five undefeated teams in the nation and, according to the BCS Rankings, three are ranked ahead of Boise State, who slipped a notch in this week’s rankings.
#3 TCU will take on #5 Utah this weekend, which will eliminate one of those teams for serious consideration in the BCS Championship Game. With four teams undefeated remaining (if that potentiality occurs), Boise State will then begin hoping and praying that they all are upset in the next four-to-five weeks, leaving them as the sole team with an undefeated record.
Simply put, if there are two undefeated teams left at season’s end other than Boise State, the Broncos will not play for the national championship. Should Auburn, currently ranked at the #2 BCS position, lose to Alabama, and any one of the other undefeated teams remain so, there is little doubt that Boise State will be snubbed again. In such a scenario, once-defeated and defending national champions Alabama will play the other undefeated team. So, if Boise State is to have a chance to play in the BCS National Championship, they have to end the season as the only undefeated team.
How is that possible?
Boise State’s head coach Chris Petersen has the respect of colleagues, coaches, reporters and those responsible for casting votes in the various polls, but it is the computer polls that keep Boise State from reaching the pinnacle. In the computer algorithms is a computation for strength of schedule, which takes into consideration the win-loss record of one’s opponents when determining just how powerful a team might be.
So Boise State will be hoping to remain undefeated and hoping that either Alabama wins against Auburn (especially if the Tigers remain the only undefeated team up until that point) at season’s end, which would mean the Broncos would probably face Alabama for the championship, or they will be hoping that they are the sole remaining undefeated team by the time all the conference championships are played.
Regardless, Boise State knows that, even if they again end the season with an undefeated record (just as they did last year), they are not guaranteed a #1 or #2 spot in the BCS rankings nor a shot at the national title through the championship game. Unfortunately, they’ve been there before…
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