In 2007 a diverse group of experts met for one year to discuss foreign policy and what type of security issues may arise from climate change. In this report “The Age of Consequences,” these experts came up with “three future world scenarios” that predicted some possibilities that may take place because of climate change (Campbell, K. et al., 2007).
In “scenario two,” the report explains that possible effects from climate change will include some areas being so affected that the melting tundra could release methane and the oceans could release carbon dioxide. Added to the effects of “scenario one,” ice sheets could become weakened and a sea level rise of 4-6 meters will affect the circulation of the North Atlantic.
These experts explain that global fisheries and agriculture will be majorly affected by climate change. A severely depleted fish supply will cause conflicts among nations and national security within the U.S. We have already witnessed fish scarcity in different parts of the world.
Some national security issues that may arise due to climate change may include political upheaval, and a collapse of the global economic system. Threats to national security and the possibility of nuclear war are several examples that these experts list for “scenario two” (Campbell, K. et al., 2007).
As we approach a more unpredictable scenario, I find it more difficult to consider what the outcome could be concerning national security due to climate change. As we approach a more severe case I believe basic instincts will take over. Survival of the wisest, most aggressive, and most wealthy may play a key role in surviving climate change and threats to national security. Alternative/underground groups will probably emerge out of their need for control over the massive chaos and instability and mistrust in governments’ inability to cope with widespread climate change effects.
After reading the “Age of Consequences” I was initially left with a feeling of discouragement concerning our future outlook due to climate change. This report was intended to shed light on global climate change and national security and in its last few paragraphs (excluding the summary) it can leave one with a sense of hope. Optimism and common sense may play a key role in how we learn to adjust to the effects of global climate change and adapt a national security plan that works.
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Authors’ Disclaimer: While every caution has been taken to provide my readers with the most accurate information, please use your discretion before making any decisions based on the information in this article.
Campbell, K. et al. (2007). The age of consequences: The foreign policy and national security implications of global climate change. Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) and the Center for a New American Security (CNAS).http://csis.org/files/media/csis/pubs/071105_ageofconsequences.pdf