Here’s my early look at possible Oscar Best Picture contenders.
But first, some updates since I filed this story in early October:
– “Harry Potter” and its latest no longer in 3D and gets a PG-13 rating.
– It seems “Inception” is losing some steam.
– “Catfish” is accused of making up the story. Not good for a documentary.
– “Blue Valentine” gets hits with a NC-17. Appeal is next step.
– Can we make it two years in a row for female directors with “Somewhere”? As in Sofia Coppola.
Just because they are on this list doesn’t necessarily mean they are my favorite films, but most are, by the way.
Notes: Looking for “Toy Story 3” to walk away with animation, so it may not land in this category. If it does, fine with me. My favorite film of the year, “A Winter’s Bone” may need a campaign to get a nomination but the actress and perhaps screenplay will get in.
With Ten nominations, look for a couple throw in surprises, I hope. Why not put it a few blockbusters so you will not hear, “I haven’t seen any of these movies”? Art house films do not get the wide release while the top-grossers sometimes fall by the wayside. I will be doing a story of that soon. Just because the film makes a lot of money many think they NEVER win. Most of the time, sure, but NEVER? Just look at “Titanic” and “Lord of the Rings.” However, “Avator” was a visual stunner with no story so “The Hurt Locker” wins. It had a story and acting. I’d rather have that win than a video game on the screen. Yes, politics, campaigns, bias, etc., all enter into the process. It does in everything whether we want to admit it or not.
And the envelope please: Plus, off the top of my head possible other category.
“Hereafter” — actress nod
The Social Network” — actor or actors nod
“The King’s Speech” — actor nod
“Black Swan” — actress nod
“127 Hours” – – actor nod
“The Kids Are All Right” — actress nod
“Rabbit Hole” — actress nod
“The Fighter” is still out there as is “True Grit.” But Jeff Bridges in John Wayne’s role, who won his Oscar for that one and Bridges just won, may be a hard sell. Will “Secretariat” be this year’s “Blind Side”? And remember, “District 9” got in last year and that was a good thing. “Blue Valentine” may get a look. A shoe-in in the documentary category will be “Waiting For Superman” and, perhaps, “Catfish.”