Paradise Picks: Week 4
Paradise Picks is a collection of 5 low value players who are decent spot starts for owners dealing with bye week gaps or injuries. These players are high risk/high reward plays that may be the difference between a win and a loss.
Chad Henne vs. New England
The Patriots have a young and inexperienced secondary who have given up a league worst 7 passing TDs in 2010. I anticipate that the Dolphins will try to run the ball to keep Tom Brady and the Patriots offense off the field; however Belichick will try to stop the run as that is Miami’s strong suit. These two factors lead me to believe that Miami will be forced to pass allowing Henne, Marshall, and Bess to put up solid fantasy numbers.
Louis Murphy vs. Houston
The Houston Texans boast one of the most potent offenses in the league, with a high-powered passing game and a league leading rushing attack. The Texans will score early and often against Oakland, forcing Tom Cable to rely on his passing game to keep pace. Look for Gradkowski and Murphy to connect on at least 6 balls for 80 yards and touchdown, making Murphy a solid third WR/Flex play.
Stephen Williams vs. San Diego
Starting wide receiver Steve Breaston will out two to three weeks with a torn meniscus, giving rookie Stephen Williams the start alongside Larry Fitzgerald. The 6’5 Williams is a raw talent, who despite having a strong camp is an unrefined player who tends to run poor routes and misses assignments. With that said, he could be a high risk/high reward play for someone looking for a spark.
Devonne Bess vs. New England
As I mentioned earlier, the chess game between Sparano and Belichick makes me think that the Dolphins will have to rely on the pass to beat New England. Also, Miami may be forced to pass if they get behind early to the potent Patriots offense. Look for 5 to 7 catches for 60 yards and a score from Bess.
Donald Brown vs. Jacksonville
The Jacksonville Jags might be the worst team in the league. They are terrible on defense, and only have one play maker in MJD on offense. The Colts will dominate the Jags early, allowing them to milk away clock in the second half with Joseph Addai and Donald Brown. If there was ever a week to start Brown, this would be it. The Jags appear demoralized and will be out of this game before halftime. Brown missed practice on Wednesday, so keep an eye on his status before plugging him into your line up.
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