The 2010 election is an important one for Pennsylvania. There will be a new Governor and Lieutenant Governor, a new Senator in the United States Senate, elections for the 19 United States House of Representatives seats, the 203 Pennsylvania House of Representatives and 25 of the Pennsylvania Senators. There is also a ballot measure calling for a Constitutional Convention to reform the state government.
The elections for the United States Senate seat and the 19 United States House of Representatives seats are likely to make an impact on the balance of power. Currently, the United States Senator is a Democrat and of the 19 United States House seats, 12 are Democrat and 7 are Republican. The current division in the US House of Representatives is 256 Democrats and 179 Republicans and the division in the Senate is 57 Democrats, 41 Republicans and 2 Independents.
United States House of Representatives Districts 1 and 9 have uncontested races. Barring a sudden and unexpected surge of write-in votes, District 1 will remain Democratic and District 9 will remain Republican. There are a number of Districts where one candidate is leading in the polls by 30% or more and it is highly unlikely that the leading candidate will lose. Districts 2, and 14 are highly likely to remain Democrat and Districts 5, 16, 18 and 19 are highly likely to remain Republican. This leaves 11 seats that are up for grabs. Districts 6, 13, 15 and 17 are close but it looks like the incumbents will prevail, and two Democrats and two Republicans will be re-elected. District 3 is likely to replace the incumbent Democrat with her Republican opponent.
Districts 4, 7, 8, 10, 11 and 12 are very close. These races are either within the margin of error for the polls or have enough undecided voters to swing the election either way.
The 4th district has a Democratic incumbent who is currently leading his Republican challenger in the polls.
The 6th district currently has a Republican incumbent and he is leading the Democratic challenger in the polls.
The 7th district is up for grabs because the current member is Joe Sestak, who is running for the United States Senate against Pat Toomey, decided not to run for re-election.
The 8th, 10th and 11th districts all have current Democratic incumbents who are trailing in the polls.
The 12th district is a special election that has a Democratic incumbent that was nominated earlier this year to replace long serving Representative Murtha, who died in February.
The United States Senate race is a close one between Democrat Joe Sestak and challenger Republican Pat Toomey. The most recentpolls indicate that 15% of voters are undecided and the margin between the candidates is only approximately 2% to 8%. Joe Sestak’s main focus is on the economy and creating jobs. He would do so by reducing taxes and providing aid. Pat Toomey’s focus is also on the economy. He believes that the key to getting the economy back on track is to reduce government intervention in private business.
If you are registered to vote, make sure that on November 2, 2010 you are at the polls to cast your vote. Many of these races are statistical dead heats and your vote could mean the difference in the balance of power in the United States House of Representatives or United States Senate for the next two years!
“Pennsylvania Elections, Pennsylvania Candidates and Politics”, USElections.com.
“Election Projection: 2010 Elections, House Projections”, Election Projection.
“House Races – Election 2010”, The New York Times.
Chad Pergram “Rep Murtha Dead at 77”, Fox News.
“Report: Sestak-Toomey Race is ‘Statistical Tie'”, Lancaster Online.
“Polls show Sestak, Toomey in Tight Race”, Pittsburgh Post Gazette.
“Issues”, Joe Sestak for Senate.
“Jobs and the Economy”, Pat Toomey for U.S. Senate