During the summer pundits both right and left assured us of a coming wave of angry voters pushing Republicans to majorities in not only the House, but the Senate as well. As the election draws near, the once daunting conservative wave is seeming smaller and smaller.
Democratic candidates are surging at just the right time, catching up to Republicans. The Senate now looks to remain in a Democratic majority, albeit smaller. Of course, that will mean even more Republican obstructionism and lack of action.
The House still looks in jeopardy for Democrats, with few willing to say it won’t fall into right wing hands. I’m not quite ready to throw in the towel, in spite of the popular sentiment. I give the Dems at least a 50/50 chance to barely retain a slight majority.
As more Americans see just how ugly and unqualified many of the current crop of Republican candidates are, the voting energy level is coming up in opposition. The Tea candidates especially have shriveled in the light of day, unable to close in the final weeks.
Look for Reid to hold in Nevada, Boxer in California, and Murray in Washington. Delaware represents opportunity lost for the right, and the extremism of their candidate will probably cost them Colorado’s Senate Seat. The only Tea victories in the Senate may turn out to be Rand in Kentucky and Rubio in Florida. And even Rand is in trouble.
But regardless of how the vote turns out, remember that no Tea win will be representative of a majority of people. They are only competitive because they have energized their base. Thirty percent of Americans can dictate politics in elections where it’s considered “high turnout” when 50 percent of voting age Americans vote. Pathetic, but true.
A long-term goal of the far right has been to convince as many people as possible that their vote doesn’t matter. Their policies cannot win when voters all Americans are energized and involved. So it’s imperative that enough people get to the polls to stop the Tea Party Express.
My prediction on the Senate – 52 Democrats, 46 Republicans, with the 2 Independents making up the remaining seats. As for the House, I’m going out on a limb and predicting Democrats will retain with only a 2 seat margin. The last may just be wishful thinking, the first I’m fairly confident in.
Either way, the sheer unbridled ugliness coming from the right will only grow, turning off more Americans and ensuring that their victories are short lived. The majority of Americans are somewhat progressive, they just need to get out and vote!