Sarah Palin, the as yet undeclared Republican candidate for president, received a bit of good news the third week of November, continuing her roll of things going Palin’s way of late. Not only did her reality show, “Sarah Palin’s Alaska,” turn out to be TLC network’s highest rated show ever and daughter Bristol reached the finale of “Dancing With The Stars,” a new poll indicates that, if the Republican primaries were held today, Palin could win the Republican nomination to run as their chose candidate for the presidency in 2012. It would be a close race, according to the latest Gallup poll, but given the margin of error, there is a chance that the former governor of Alaska could win the nomination out of a three-way dead heat race.
The latest Gallup poll, which asked potential Republican voters who they would most likely support for a GOP presidential bid out of a list of potential candidates, saw four names chosen that indicate who would be the frontrunners early in the popularity poll that will help shape the Republican primaries leading into the 2012 election. Former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney, the poll indicated, would have the support of 19 percent of the Republican voters, with former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee and former Alaska governor Sarah Palin receiving 16 percent of the vote each. Former Speaker of the House of Representatives Newt Gingrich, who also seems to be readying for a presidential bid, received 13 percent of the respondent’s support.
Interestingly, of the four frontrunners for the GOP nomination, the poll numbers for Palin and Mitt Romney remained the same as those recorded in a September Gallup poll asking the same question. Mike Huckabee and Newt Gingrich, however, showed an increase of 4 percentage points each.
Also of interest, the number of those having no opinion on the matter increased by 4 percentage points to 18 percent, which, if translated into real voting numbers, makes the Republican primary field a wide open race for the nomination.
Additionally, if one allows for the margin of error in the Gallup poll, the plus or minus 4 percent potentially places the top three candidates in a dead heat tie with Newt Gingrich right on their heels.
So it is good news for a few GOP hopefuls for 2012 presidential campaign. It is even better news for Sarah Palin, who, after basking in the glow of much praise for her campaigning efforts that helped usher in a majority of GOP Congresspersons for the 112th Congress, found some members of her party critical of her role in 2010 midterm elections. In fact, Rep. Spencer Bachus (R-AL) insisted Palin’s involvement in the senatorial races of states like Delaware, Nevada, and her home state of Alaska cost the Republican’s control of the U. S. Senate.
On top of colleague disapproval, a poll released by CNN/Opinion Research Corporation indicated that, if Sarah Palin was nominated as the GOP candidate in 2012, she would lose to an incumbent President Barack Obama. Another poll conducted by Gallup since the midterm elections also indicated that Palin had a 52 percent unfavorable rating among Americans, the highest that number has been since Gallup began tracking the two-year governor’s popularity.
In the fast-paced world where one week can see one up and the next could very well see one down, it would appear that Palin is again on the ascendant. But that is only a reflection of the third week of November, just two weeks after the 2010 midterm elections. In the next 101 weeks until the 2012 election, she could become the clear frontrunner in the Republican Party. Of course, Palin could also become an also-ran by that time as well.
Regardless, there is always 2016. But as of now, Sarah Palin is among the leaders of the Republican pack of hopefuls.