In 2008, there were very few conservatives that believed that the GOP had a chance to regain any ground in the brave new political world that was heralded in by the election of the most liberal president in the history of American politics.
Democrats had completely reinvented themselves from the wishy washy liberal anti-gun, pro-green party to a force for change, and Americans, conservative and otherwise, road along on a wave of joy and ecstasy that change had indeed, come to America.
Now 22 months and the Tea Party later, a vice presidential candidate that claimed she could see Russia from her house has become the voice of the conservative right, and a quasi political movement has allowed conservative senate and house candidates to ride a wave of disillusionment that the Obama administration has cultivated in their failed efforts with Health Care and an economy that is teetering on the brink of a massive recession.
Obama is vexed. Despite his best efforts, he has run up an enormous deficit and has been unable to establish any credibility as a vehicle of change. His wife continues to maintain her popularity, and while Obama is personally liked, he is now viewed as gravely incompetent and unable to lead the country out of what has been the darkest times since the Carter years.
George W. Bush, who road a wave of unpopularity on is way out of the White House, must appear sage-like compared to Obama, who cannot steer the country out of a recession, and continues to blame the resolve of the American people and the republican party for the woes that this once great country now faces. It is difficult for Americans to feel anything but animosity for the way they are being addressed and treated by Obama and Pelosi, who blame American resolve for the situation we are in. Apparently we are not team players, at least not when it comes to playing on Obama’s team.
It is no surprise that the Dems will loose at minimum, the House this election time in November. what is equally shocking is the rise of Sarah Palin, who was deemed a political liability to the republican party, but has made a name for herself and has many liberals now taking her seriously, as much as they hate to admit that they are.
So what can Obama do? he tried to galvanize college age voters over the last week. he figured he could get them to bu into the same lies that made them enthusiastic about his chances for change two years ago. But it hasn’t worked. most teenage voters will not come out and vote this time around. they are disillusioned, and many feel they have been bamboozled.
No small wonder with a deficit in the trillions. No small wonder that many will see their parents homes foreclosed on, their parents without jobs, and college educations that are as worthless as the paper the diploma is written on in a stagnant economy that is not growing fast enough to provide jobs for the many who will graduate this year. No small wonder that there is a complete lack of enthusiasm for what is to come this November.
The Dems have literally pushed the country into the arms of the republicans. Sarah Plain has proven that a rose by any other name is well, not a rose.
Charlie Cook is quoted in the National Journal Magazine as saying
“As one Republican strategist put it, Democratic voters were so demoralized that their intensity had only one way to go, and that was up. Democrats still have a formidable challenge in getting their sympathizers to the polls, but their task may not be as difficult as it appeared a few weeks ago, when Democratic voters were even more despondent.
One GOP pollster theorized that as Democrats shifted their messaging focus more to the personal weaknesses and shortcomings of GOP candidates, they energized more of their supporters, perhaps enough to save a few seats and cut margins in others. The tightening seems to be happening in Senate races in Arkansas, Illinois, Ohio, and Pennsylvania, but not in Colorado, Missouri, and Washington state, underscoring the danger of drawing sweeping conclusions. In Arkansas, Democratic incumbent Blanche Lincoln is still well behind, but she’s no longer being buried in a landslide. In Pennsylvania, different polls are suggesting different margins, with some showing the contest between former Republican Rep. Pat Toomey and Democratic Rep. Joe Sestak very, very close — a turnaround from polls that had been showing the race widening and hinting that the contest might be over. In Ohio, former Republican Rep. Rob Portman is holding a solid lead over Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher, but it may not be quite as wide as it was.
It’s too soon to say whether the tightening is widespread and whether it extends into the House. One Republican strategist pointed to the Democratic open seat in Pennsylvania’s 7th Congressional District — the district Sestak currently represents — that had looked like it would be a “walk in the park” for Republicans. Now the race looks like it might be a contest. With so many House seats at play, detecting patterns can be hard. Still, when patterns do emerge, the evidence can be imposing and impressive.”
The Dems still have three weeks to screw it up. But again the consensus as quoted by Mr Cook remains the same.
“At this juncture, I am still sticking with a 1994-level outlook: Eight Senate and 52 House seats are the over and under, with a 50 percent chance that Republican gains will be higher and a 50 percent chance that they will be lower. House gains in the 60s, 70s, or even 80s seem unlikely, as do Senate gains of 11 or 12, which would require the GOP to capture or hold 100 percent of the 18 or so Senate seats that could change hands. Even so, Republicans stand poised to make sizable gains that will flip the House and bring them close to winning the Senate.”