Election Day 2010 is finally here. Yet the buzz around Election Day 2010 is far different than the last few first Tuesdays of November. In 2008, history was made, in spite of the questionable history that was formed in the aftermath. In 2006, the Democrats took back control of Congress from a reeling Republican majority. In 2004, the nation brought an end to a divisive presidential election, and in 2002, the country voted with the shadows of 9/11 still hanging over it. But the storyline of Election Day 2010 is expected to be like it was in 2006 – only with a different party re-taking control.
The suspense has largely been drained out of tonight’s results, except in one key area. Even the Democrats may now be resigned to losing control of the House, as projections all favor Republicans. At the least, that would make one big win for the Republicans – although they want two.
All of the suspense over Election Day is over the Senate, and whether the Republicans have enough to retake that branch as well. Yet they are certain to gain seats, and limit the Democrats’ majority, even if they get to keep it.
Of course, the Democrats are being punished for either doing too much, or too little, with their 59/60 seat majority in the last two years. Since they may only have a slim majority after tonight – at the most – the conventional wisdom has their agenda stalling no matter what.
But there is still a big difference between having a smaller majority and having none to speak of. If Election Day ends with the Democrats keeping the Senate, it may not reverse their woes, but it would help stop the bleeding. If they want that small victory, then it will hinge on a few key states.
All eyes will be on the elections in Nevada, Washington state, Alaska, California and Colorado, among other close races. In fact, there’s a good chance that senatorial control won’t be decided until tomorrow, if one of the West Coast races isn’t settled on time. There’s a real chance that the results could be 50-49 for one party in the late hours, with one too-close-to-call race deciding everything.
According to Real Clear Politics, Election Day will end with a 51-seat majority for the Democrats, if the current polls all hold up. Yet even if that holds up, and both parties have one branch of Congress each, it may make the next two years even more divisive. Of course, Democrats and their supporters will still take that over total Republican control – even if they remain disappointed over how it got this far.
The drama over Election Day has just begun, and could stretch on well into the early morning hours. After everyone finishes voting today, they are certain to be on the edge of their seats all night.
Real Clear Politics- “Battle for the Senate”