Rasmussen has some good news for a pair of long-shot Republican Senate candidates. They are Linda McMahon, the former pro wrestling magnate running in Connecticut, and Christine O’Donnell, who needs no introduction, running in Delaware.
In Connecticut, Democratic Senate candidate Richard Blumenthal is polled at 50 percent, as opposed to Linda McMahon at 45 percent. While McMahon has been attacked for her pro wrestling antics, which often involve some unseemly performance art in the ring, Blumenthal has been hurt by his lying about having a Vietnam War record. Even so, Connecticut is a blue, liberal Democratic state in which even the most staid Republican cannot expect to prosper in a state-wide race.
Can Linda McMahon close the five-point gap and actually pull out a win? Such gaps have been closed in many races within the space of a weekend, not to mention five weeks.
In Delaware, the race has been complicated by defeated GOP candidate Mike Castle’s public musing of conducting an independent run. Even when Castle is not mentioned in the survey question, the poll indicates Democrat Chris Coons at 49 percent, Republican Christine O’Donnell at 40 percent, and Mike Castle at 5 percent.
Christine O’Donnell has been dogged by colorful revelations, thanks to appearances on Bill Maher’s “Politically Incorrect” show in the 1990s, of everything from a High School fling with witchcraft to opposition to masturbation. Questions have also been raised about financial difficulties O’Donnell has been in, from problems with taxes to paying the mortgage on a house. An accusation that she used campaign funds to pay for personal expenses in a previous election have also dogged her.
Nevertheless, it looks like even the hint that Castle might enter the Delaware Senate race as an independent candidate would help O’Donnell, as such a run would take votes almost exclusively from Coons. Coons himself has been dogged by a college age declaration that a trip to Kenya had turned him from a Reaganite Republican to a “bearded Marxist.”
Nine points down is a formidable hurtle to surmount for Christine O’Donnell, especially five weeks before the general election. Nevertheless, O’Donnell has closed a similar gap to win the primary against Castle. Despite being the butt of jokes on Bill Maher and on Saturday Night Live, O’Donnell still has the potential of having the last laugh by getting elected to the Senate.
2010 is turning out to be one of the most historic-and strangest-election years in the history of the American Republic. Office holders who would be safe in any other year are in danger of being forcibly retired by the voters. At the same time, candidates who would be long shots in any other year may become members of Congress and governors of states. President Obama promised hope and change. But, like the King of Lydia, Croesus, who was promised that he would “destroy a great empire,” only to find out it was his own, Obama has brought hope and change, not to himself, but to his bitterest political opponents.
Sources: Election 2010: Connecticut Senate, Rasmussen Reports, September 27th, 2010
Election 2010: Delaware Senate, Rasmussen Reports, September 27th, 2010