The midterms are over, and a lame duck session of Congress is about to convene. This means that until after the first of the year, when state and the federal governments begin swearing in the electorate’s new choices, the most memorable occasion of government activity will be something forgettable.
However, if you pay attention to the polls, in this case AP-GFK Polls, an exciting breath of fresh political air filters through the stagnation, and it spells Sarah Palin. Many polls, articles, and blogs refer to her as polarizing. Dictionary.com describes polarizing as “to divide into sharply opposing factions, political groups, etc,” which pretty much describes Sarah Palin. Basically, there are only two camps for her followers. One camp is for those who view her favorably, and the other is for those whose view her unfavorably.
The presidential election, of 2012, is on the horizon, and candidates are jockeying for position. Palin has yet to announce she is going to be a candidate, but she has said she is considering it. At the present time, there is no strong Republican candidate who looks like a consensus nominee, but two early indicators point to Palin as a possible strong force.
Two years before a presidential election, polls simply mirror a potential candidate’s name recognition. Of all the potential Republican candidates, Palin, Mike Huckabee, and Mitt Romney are the ones most people feel will become presidential candidates, and of this group Palin has the greatest name recognition. In a telephone survey by AP GfK, 25 percent of those surveyed were not familiar with either Huckabee or Romney’s name, while only five percent were unfamiliar with Palin’s name. Yes, after candidates get into full campaign mode the name recognition figure will change for Huckabee, and Romney, but Palin has a head start in that important category.
In addition, in another AP GfK poll respondents who consider themselves Republicans gave her a 79 percent favorable rating, and a 17 percent unfavorable rating. This is another early indicator Palin may be a force in the race for the Republican nomination, for the 2012 presidential race.
Associated Press: AP GfK Poll: Palin most Polarizing of 2012 Crowd: Yahoo! News.mgt